Super Duper Tuesday
The media is so overdramatic about this shit.
Super Tuesday has passed us by. On February 5th, 24 states held primaries or caucuses to help determine who the two major parties will nominate to run in the general election next November. Exciting stuff, yes? Well, only if you believe all the hype. Don’t get me wrong here: Super Tuesday was pretty damn important, but there are a few more primaries to go and nothing is set in stone yet. Huffington Post has the results, if you’re interested in looking at things state-by-state, but I’ll skip the details here for those of you who don’t get all swoony over electoral politics. In the GOP, McCain is led with 9 states, followed by Romney with 7 and Huckabee with 5. Obama took 14 states leaving Clinton with 9.
So what does this all mean? I’m glad you asked….
Obama vs. Clinton in the Super Tuesday Showdown
Deep down, they really love each other.
With Obama taking more states than Clinton, it would seem that he’s in the lead, right? Well….not necessarily. The Democratic party likes to make primary season more complicated by splitting delegates between candidates based on the percentage of the vote they get. This means that in a Democratic primary, even the loser in a state walks away with a few delegates. We won’t know until all the states vote just how many delegates each candidate has. Then there are superdelegates, who can basically vote however the fuck they want to, no matter how the state primaries turn out. Superdelegates are generally elected officials, i.e. Democratic members of congress, Governors, and other snooty politician types. A shitload of superdelegates have already pledged votes to either Obama or Clinton. There’s a list here. Clinton seems to be up right now, but the list of superdelegates won’t be finalized until March 1.
McCain’s Super Tuesday Smackdown…Well, Sorta….
McCain’s game face
The GOP primaries are slightly less complicated because most of their primaries are winner take all. So if a district has 5 delegates, the winner gets five and the loser gets nothing. So unless something big happens in the remaining GOP primaries, McCain is probably gonna get the nomination. Of course, the Republican Convention also has unpledged delegates who aren’t required to vote based on the state primaries. The GOP primary races have stayed relatively close between the top top three candidates, but the delegate count is still pretty high in favor of McCain due to the whole winner-take-all thing. Unpledged convention delegates could have an affect on that, depending on how much the GOP hates McCain at that particular moment. Since the Republican convention is held after the Democratic convention, I would guess that the naming of the Democratic nominee could have some impact on who the unpledged delegates pick. You know…they’ll choose the candidate who looks the best next to the Dems candidate.
2008: The Year Both Major Parties Implode?
If these are the choices next November, prepare to be dazzled….
Republican infighting in the last year has brought me more joy than just about anything in my life (except maybe cigarettes). Sadly, the Democrats are beginning to look as though they might fall apart, due to the freakish amount of Hillary Hate that has been spewed by journalists, bloggers, pundits, and just about anyone else who thinks people actually listen to them. Personally, I still think Clinton is a stronger candidate than any of the Republicans, sexism and irrational hatred notwithstanding. A lot of Democrats and/or progressive types that I’ve spoken to lately have voiced concerns that if she gets the nomination and runs against John McCain, there is no possible way she can win. “She’s too polarizing,” they say. I would love to find the person who first used the term “polarizing” to refer to the Clinton campaign and beat them upside the head for giving millions of Democrats an excuse to run from her in fear. I understand that a lot of people hate her. The thing is, they’re hating her for irrational reasons. Now, let me make this clear: there are totally rational reasons to not support Clinton. I’m not saying all people who don’t support Clinton or fuckwads. I’m talking about the phenomenon that leads people to go batshit crazy every time someone mentions Senator Clinton’s name. That is the totally irrational stuff. Besides, it’s not like the Republican candidates are perfect….
John McCain is hardly the golden boy of the Republican party. Prominent conservatives have been all over McCain for his stance on immigration, global warming, stem cell research, his involvement in the Gang of 14, and his refusal to support a constitutional amendment banning same sex marriage. Here are a few examples of how Clinton isn’t the only “polarizing” candidate in the race for the Oval Office.
“McCain will kill conservatism as a dominant force in the Republican Party.”–Radio Host, Rush Limbaugh, Monday February 4, 2008
“Should John McCain capture the nomination as many assume, I believe this general election will offer the worst choices for president in my lifetime. I certainly can’t vote for Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama based on their virulently anti-family policy positions. If these are the nominees in November, I simply will not cast a ballot for president for the first time in my life “–James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family…beloved by evangelical Christians the world over
“If you are looking at substance rather than if there is an R or a D after his name, manifestly, if he’s our candidate, than Hillary is going to be our girl, because she’s more conservative than he is,”–Ann Coulter. Who then went on to say she will campaign for Hillary if McCain gets the nomination.
So see there…everyone is polarizing. The Republicans hate all their candidates. Would a Clinton nomination cause a big divide in the party? Well…maybe. But it looks like the GOP is gonna be divided no matter what.